Interested in exploring prediction markets but unsure how to begin? This comprehensive guide walks you through every essential step: from account setup through executing your initial profitable position.
Schritt 1: Das Richtige Plattform wählen
For German-speaking newcomers, we suggest PolyGram:
- Operates natively within Telegram — no app installation required
- Cryptocurrency wallet not necessary
- Matching liquidity with Polymarket (the world's largest prediction market platform)
- USDC deposits available via credit card
Schritt 2: Konto erstellen (2 Minuten)
- Launch Telegram and locate @PolyGram_Telegram_bot
- Press "Start"
- Your Telegram account automatically verifies your identity
- Complete — you're now registered!
Schritt 3: Ersten Betrag einzahlen
Suggested initial deposit for newcomers: €20–50 as educational capital
- Credit card (instant): 2–3% fee, though most straightforward approach
- USDC from a crypto exchange: most economical if you already possess USDC
Schritt 4: Ersten Trade verstehen
Visit PolyGram Märkte and locate a market that captures your interest:
- Document the current YES price (representing the market's probability estimate in %)
- Develop your own probability assessment
- Execute trades only when your assessment substantially differs from the market price
- Start with a modest position (€5–10) to familiarise yourself with the mechanics
Schritt 5: Lernen und skalieren
- Record every transaction in a spreadsheet: market name, your probability estimate, outcome
- Following 20 transactions: identify patterns (in which areas do you outperform the market?)
- Expand your stake only once you've demonstrated reliable calibration
Häufig gestellte Fragen
- Wie viel Geld kann ich anfangs verlieren?
- You can lose no more than your committed capital per individual position. Trading €5 per position across 10 concurrent positions means your maximum exposure is €50 — an appropriate learning allocation.
- Gibt es deutschsprachige Prediction Market Communities?
- PolyGram maintains a German-language Telegram community for DACH-region members. Join the group and engage with fellow German-speaking traders.