MLB: Triples Leader

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 regular season triples race is being led by Corbin Carroll, and the market’s 71% implied chance reflects how concentrated the leaderboard is around one clear pace-setter rather than a broad field. Carroll already sits well ahead on the official and sportsbook-style stat pages, with 8 triples listed by TeamRankings and 9 on FOX Sports’ current feed, while the next cluster of contenders is much lower and more fragmented. [4][2] That kind of gap matters in a category like triples, where one or two extra hits can swing the season, but it also leaves room for volatility because triples are driven by contact quality, ballpark dimensions and whether fast runners keep turning doubles into three-baggers.

Historical comparables point to a market that can look secure without being settled. Recent leaderboards show a small number of players separating themselves early, including Jarren Duran, Bobby Witt Jr., Elly De La Cruz and others in projection models, but the actual in-season leader can still change with a short hot streak or an injury absence. [5] For traders, the main catalysts are Carroll’s and the nearest chasers’ playing time, batting-order position and any roster news that changes run environment or aggressiveness on the bases; the official MLB stat page is the cleanest source for tracking the live race, and ESPN’s season leader listing shows how quickly the margin can compress if a pursuer strings together extra-base hits. [3][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews MLB: Triples Leader across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.