Bitcoin price on August 19?

Platform comparison

Market context

This market settles on the Binance BTC/USDT closing price at noon Eastern Time on 19 August 2026, using the 1-minute candle data from the exchange's spot trading interface. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either uncertain about the specific price bracket or expect the market to resolve to "No" due to data unavailability or technical issues on that date.

Bitcoin's intraday volatility at fixed timestamps has historically been substantial, with noon ET closures often reflecting post-London morning trading and pre-US afternoon session positioning. Over comparable periods, single-minute candle closes have swung across multiple price brackets within hours, making noon snapshots particularly sensitive to overnight Asian session momentum and early European trading flows. The two-year settlement window allows for significant macro shifts in Bitcoin's valuation regime, though the specificity of a single minute's close introduces noise that typically dominates over longer-term directional conviction.

Key dependencies for this market include Binance's operational status on the settlement date, any regulatory changes affecting the exchange's data reporting, and broader cryptocurrency market conditions in mid-August 2026. Traders should monitor Bitcoin's macroeconomic catalysts—Federal Reserve policy signals, institutional adoption announcements, and geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite—as these will shape the broader price environment. The exact noon ET close will also reflect any overnight news from Asian markets and early US economic data releases, making real-time monitoring essential as the settlement window approaches.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Bitcoin price on August 19?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.