Bitcoin price on June 14?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market resolves based on Bitcoin's closing price at noon Eastern Time on 14 June 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle. The settlement window extends to 16:00 UTC that same day, allowing roughly four hours after the noon ET snapshot for final price confirmation. Resolution brackets will round upward if the price falls exactly between two thresholds.

Bitcoin's price action over multi-year windows has historically been shaped by macroeconomic policy shifts, regulatory announcements, and institutional adoption milestones rather than daily volatility patterns. The current 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect the market to resolve to "No"—meaning either Binance data becomes unavailable at the specified time or technical issues prevent settlement. Historical precedent shows exchange outages or data feed interruptions occur infrequently but remain material risks for markets dependent on single-source candle data, particularly during periods of elevated trading volume.

Key variables affecting settlement include Binance's operational status on the date, any scheduled maintenance windows announced in advance, and broader market conditions that might trigger exchange-wide circuit breakers. Traders should monitor Binance's status page and official announcements in the months preceding June 2026, as unplanned downtime or API failures have occasionally prevented timely price capture. The specificity of the noon ET timestamp creates a narrow window where technical failures could render the market unresolvable, distinguishing this from markets using daily close prices or longer settlement windows.

Methodology

This page reviews Bitcoin price on June 14? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.