Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Platform comparison

Market context

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) passed the House on 17 July 2025 with bipartisan backing but remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, where a competing discussion draft, the Responsible Financial Innovation Act, has emerged [5][6]. Historically, crypto market-structure bills in the US face significant attrition once moving from the House to the Senate; the 2022 FIT21 bill similarly cleared the House but required over a year of Senate negotiation before passing both chambers in 2024, illustrating the typical legislative lag for such complex frameworks [6]. With the current crowd-implied probability at 38% YES, the market reflects uncertainty about whether the Senate will prioritise H.R.3633 over its own draft or attempt to merge the two, a process that often delays final passage beyond initial expectations.

Traders should monitor the Senate Banking Committee’s agenda for any scheduled hearings on H.R.3633 or announcements regarding a potential compromise with the RFIA draft, as these are the primary catalysts for progress [6]. The bill’s timeline is tight, requiring passage by both chambers and presidential signing before 31 December 2026, meaning any delay in committee action now could jeopardise the deadline [1]. Recent reporting notes that the Senate has not yet advanced its own crypto framework beyond the discussion stage, leaving the path for H.R.3633 unclear but not impossible if bipartisan pressure mounts [6]. Key dependencies include the White House’s stance on crypto regulation and whether the House will amend its bill to align with Senate preferences, a factor that could accelerate or stall final resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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How fast do sports winnings settle?

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What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.