Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO

Platform comparison

Market context

The Credible public sale on MetaDAO has already secured $2.315m in soft institutional commits, with the live raise now open for four days to target a minimum of $2m and a maximum of $4m[2]. The curated fundraise launched on 13 July 2026, powered by Solana, following over $700m in prior volume and a strong revenue run rate for Credible[8].

Historically, MetaDAO’s capped USDC raises with minimum thresholds have resolved positively when soft commits exceed the floor, as seen in 16 completed post-raise projects where demand consistently outpaced minimums[7]. The 99% YES probability aligns with this pattern: institutional backing of $2.3m already surpasses the $2m threshold, and the mechanism refunds all capital if the minimum is not met, reducing downside risk for participants[4].

Traders should monitor the “committed” figure on the official sale page, which updates in real time as retail and institutional capital flows in[2]. Key catalysts include the four-day window closing, any announcements from Credible’s CEO Shri regarding valuation caps or token terms, and whether the sale reaches the $4m upper target before 31 August 2026[9]. Institutional interest is further reinforced by Paradigm’s $5.9m token acquisition in MetaDAO, signalling sustained confidence in the platform’s fundraising model[10].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.