Market statistics
- Total volume
- $142K
- 24h volume
- $142K
- Liquidity
- $787K
- Open interest
- $124K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Available prediction outcomes (20)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
#1
↑ 2,000
100%
Trade →
#2
↓ 1,900
71%
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#3
↑ 2,100
65%
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#4
↓ 1,800
43%
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#5
↑ 2,200
40%
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#6
↑ 2,300
24%
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#7
↓ 1,700
23%
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#8
↑ 2,400
13%
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#9
↓ 1,600
12%
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#10
↓ 1,500
8%
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#11
↑ 2,500
7%
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#12
↓ 1,400
5%
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#13
↑ 2,600
3%
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#14
↓ 1,300
3%
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#15
↑ 2,700
2%
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#16
↓ 1,200
2%
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#17
↑ 2,800
2%
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#18
↓ 1,100
1%
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#19
↑ 3,000
1%
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#20
↓ 1,000
1%
Trade →
Market context
What price will Ethereum hit in June?
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for What price will Ethereum hit in June?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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