Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Xtreme Gaming face Team Yandex in a best-of-one group stage match at the BLAST Slam on 27 May at 07:30 ET. The fixture carries unusual settlement risk given the 0% crowd probability and the compressed timeline to resolution—the market closes just over three hours after scheduled kick-off, leaving minimal buffer for technical delays or fixture postponements common in online Dota 2 tournaments.
Team Yandex's participation in BLAST Slam represents their first major LAN-adjacent competition since roster restructuring in early 2025. Xtreme Gaming, by contrast, have maintained competitive consistency through the spring season, though their recent form against tier-one Chinese squads has been mixed. Historical precedent suggests that matches between established regional representatives and newly formed rosters often hinge on preparation depth rather than individual skill—the 0% probability may reflect either overwhelming confidence in Xtreme Gaming's superiority or, conversely, uncertainty about whether Team Yandex will field their full roster given visa and travel complications that have affected CIS-region teams in 2025.
Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule updates through 26 May for any reschedules or roster confirmations. Recent reporting from Dota 2 esports outlets has flagged potential stand-in usage for Team Yandex due to travel delays. Any formal announcement of substitutions or match postponement beyond the 7-day window would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering the settlement outcome regardless of in-game performance.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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