Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upper bracket quarterfinal between 3DMAX and magic in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs will determine which team advances to the semi-finals on 27 May. The match is scheduled for 6:00 AM ET and will be contested over a best-of-three series. Current implied odds favour 3DMAX at 65 per cent, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites despite magic's qualification to this stage.

3DMAX have established themselves as a consistent top-tier outfit in recent Counter-Strike competition, with strong map pool depth and disciplined tactical execution. Magic, conversely, have shown volatility in their results—capable of upset performances but inconsistent across series length. Historical precedent in Stake Ranked events suggests that teams with 3DMAX's structural stability tend to convert quarterfinal advantages into progression roughly 70 per cent of the time when favoured by similar margins. However, magic's path to this bracket position indicates they've beaten teams of comparable calibre, which narrows the gap between the squads' actual capabilities.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through to match day, particularly any last-minute stand-in announcements or illness affecting key players. Recent coaching adjustments at either organisation could signal tactical shifts that alter map selection strategy. The 7-day buffer in the settlement window provides protection against scheduling delays, though the early morning ET start time creates minimal risk of postponement. Fixture congestion across the Stake circuit may affect player preparation time, particularly if either team competed in matches immediately preceding this quarterfinal.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.