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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Sports snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 2 Winner 53% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $207K Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner53%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner49%
Match Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)35%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)34%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)31%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)27%

Market context

Aurora Gaming meet G2 in a best-of-three upper-bracket quarter-final at BLAST Open Porto Group A, with the market sitting near a coin flip at 49% YES. The set is live on the day the group stage begins, and both teams are in the part of the bracket where a single series has an immediate path impact: the winner moves towards the upper semi-finals, while the loser drops into the lower bracket.

That 49% pricing is consistent with a match-up between sides that have both been reshaped in recent months. Aurora have a retooled line-up built around kyxsan in-game leading, with Jimpphat and coach ashh joining the core of XANTARES, Wicadia and woxic, which usually means upside but some risk around early-event cohesion. G2’s current roster is also relatively fresh, featuring huNter-, HeavyGod, NertZ, MATYS, r1nkle and SunPayus, so comparable openings often hinge less on long-term pedigree and more on which side settles fastest on map veto and mid-round calls.

The main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, any last-minute substitute news, and whether the BO3 starts on schedule in Copenhagen rather than slipping towards the later Porto stages. BLAST’s published schedule has the match on 26 August, and the fixture is still listed as pending shortly before play, so traders should watch for official start-time confirmation and any desk or organiser updates that could affect the settlement window.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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