Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
B8, the Ukrainian organisation, face TYLOO, the Chinese squad, in a best-of-one opening fixture at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 2 June. The 56% crowd probability favours B8, reflecting their stronger recent domestic performance and consistent roster stability through 2025. TYLOO have struggled with inconsistent results and personnel turnover, though they retain individual firepower in their core players. The match format—single map elimination—amplifies variance; either team can exploit map selection or a single strong half to advance.
Historical precedent suggests B8's recent form carries weight in such fixtures. When Ukrainian teams have entered majors with momentum from regional qualifiers, they've typically outperformed lower-seeded Asian opposition in opening rounds, though TYLOO's occasional upset capacity remains non-negligible. The 56% reading sits comfortably within the range where recent form differentials usually settle; neither team enters as a heavy favourite.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through the settlement window, particularly any last-minute substitutions or coaching announcements from either camp. TYLOO's travel logistics to Cologne and any visa complications could affect preparation time. Map pool announcements, typically released 48 hours before matches, will shift probability if either team holds a pronounced advantage on the selected map. Schedule delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, though major organisers rarely permit such slippage at this stage.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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