Market statistics
- Total volume
- $835K
- 24h volume
- $835K
- Open interest
- $600K
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
BetBoom Team face Liquid in a best-of-one Round 2 match at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 2 June at 3:00PM ET. The fixture represents a significant test for both rosters in a tournament that carries substantial ranking points and prize money. BetBoom, the Russian-Belarusian organisation, have maintained a competitive European presence through 2025, whilst Liquid continue to operate as a transatlantic squad with established infrastructure.
The 100% implied probability warrants scrutiny given the volatility typical of single-map encounters and the absence of recent head-to-head data in public records. Historical precedent suggests that BO1 markets often reflect incomplete information about team preparation, map pool alignment, and day-of-event variables. Upsets in IEM Cologne qualifiers have occurred when favourites faced unfamiliar opposition or when roster changes created preparation gaps. The settlement window extends to 3 June at 01:30 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time.
Traders should monitor official IEM announcements for any roster confirmations, map selection, or scheduling changes in the 48 hours before the match. Recent reporting from esports journalists covering the Major circuit has highlighted coaching staff adjustments at both organisations heading into the tournament. Any last-minute player absences or technical delays affecting the broadcast infrastructure could trigger the match postponement clause. The current probability leaves no margin for draw scenarios or incomplete-match resolutions, suggesting the market has priced in near-certain completion under standard conditions.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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