Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
CYBERSHOKE Prospects and benched gods are due to meet in a CCT Europe Series #5 group-stage best-of-three, but the strongest public signal is that the match has already been played or is at least fully underway in match trackers, with one source showing a 1–1 scoreline and another listing it as live at 0–0 later on 23 July.[2][3][5] That matters for a market showing 100% YES: in practice, this kind of certainty usually reflects either a completed result, a near-certain live state, or stale pricing rather than a genuinely one-sided pre-match view.
On form and matchup history, benched gods have the cleaner head-to-head, having beaten CYBERSHOKE Prospects 2–0 in March in the same broader CCT Europe environment.[4] Strafe’s current snapshot has both teams arriving with similar recent records at three wins in their last five, while rating CYBERSHOKE Prospects slightly higher in the world rankings at #110 versus #136 for benched gods.[5] That combination makes a 100% implied probability hard to justify on form alone; the more relevant comparison is that the market may be reacting to a known result, a line-up edge, or an in-play state not fully reflected in the headline price.
The main catalysts for traders are match status, official score confirmation, and any late roster or scheduling changes, because several trackers disagree on whether the fixture is pending, live, or already part-finished.[1][2][3][5] If the bracket or stream page confirms a delay beyond the settlement window, or if the series is voided and rescheduled, the market mechanics point away from a straightforward team-win settlement and towards the contingency rules in the description. A trader should therefore watch for final admin updates rather than treating the current price as a clean read on relative strength.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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