Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FaZe and Sharks are scheduled to meet in the lower bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs on 29 May at 1:30PM ET, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The best-of-three format means the first team to two map wins progresses; the match must conclude by 30 May at 00:30 UTC for standard resolution.
The 100% implied probability reflects FaZe's standing as a significantly stronger roster on paper and in recent domestic performance. FaZe has maintained consistency within the upper tier of North American Counter-Strike, whilst Sharks, a newer or lower-seeded organisation, typically compete at a lower competitive level. Historical precedent in lower bracket semifinals shows favourites at this probability margin rarely fail to advance unless roster disruption, illness, or technical failure intervenes. The gap between these teams' Valve ranking positions and recent LAN placements supports the market's assessment.
Traders should monitor announcements regarding player availability through 29 May, particularly any last-minute roster changes or illness disclosures from either camp. Schedule adherence matters: delays beyond seven days without resolution trigger a 50-50 settlement. FaZe's recent form and map pool strength relative to Sharks' demonstrated weaknesses will determine whether the match plays out as expected. Any forfeit by either side before completion would resolve based on which team won maps already played, not the full series outcome.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked … on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →