Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled for 8:00AM ET on 27 June. This Best-of-3 series determines playoff progression, with Inner Circle needing a win to avoid further lower-bracket descent after their recent 0-2 LAN defeat to Sharks in Bucharest [1].

Historically, a 0% crowd-implied probability for a team with a 67% monthly winrate and back-to-back victories signals a severe market dislocation rather than a genuine form collapse [3]. Comparable cases in CS2 show that when a team with strong momentum (Inner Circle) faces an opponent with a 38% recent winrate and three consecutive losses (Sharks), the market often overcorrects to favourites before the map veto reshapes the series [3]. The 86.3% Strafe user vote for Sharks contradicts Thunderpick odds favouring Inner Circle at 1.78, suggesting the crowd probability ignores the Brazilian side's Anubis vulnerability and confidence issues [2][3].

Traders must monitor the map veto announcement, as banning Nuke neutralises Sharks' strongest map while exposing their Anubis weakness [3]. Key catalysts include any roster changes or coaching shifts for Sharks following their IEM Cologne slump, and the specific timing of the 1:30 PM start noted on Strafe versus the 8:00AM ET market listing [2]. The settlement window ending 27 June 19:40 UTC means any delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves the market to 50-50, making the completion status a critical dependency [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.