Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-12.5) vs Isurus (+12.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-9.5) vs Isurus (+9.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Isurus and Patins da Ferrari are due to meet in a best-of-three Round of 16 match in the CCT South America Series 4 playoffs, and the market is priced as if Patins da Ferrari are overwhelming favourites. That lines up with their recent results: Patins da Ferrari went 3-0 through the Swiss stage, including 2-0 wins over ODDIK, Grêmio and METANOIA Wolves, while their core has been posting stronger individual numbers than Isurus over the past three months, led by atarax1a’s 1.29 rating.[1] A live match record from 17 July also shows Patins da Ferrari beating Grêmio 2-0, which reinforces the idea that the side has been converting form into clean series wins.[2]
For traders, the main question is whether anything has changed in the line-up or scheduling since those Swiss-stage results. In this sort of market, the biggest catalysts are late roster edits, stand-ins, server-side delays, or a match being rescheduled outside the settlement window, because a non-run or a match delayed beyond seven days would not settle to a side win.[1] The existing pricing implies the crowd expects Patins da Ferrari’s recent form to hold, so any announcement of a substitute, illness, visa issue, or technical postponement would be the most relevant near-term risk to watch.[1]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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