Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Lavked face HEROIC Academy in a Counter-Strike best-of-three fixture within the CCT Europe Series 3 group stage on 29 May at 10:00 AM ET. The match determines positioning within the regional qualifier structure, with both teams competing for advancement in a competitive European circuit that feeds into broader international qualification pathways.
The 100% implied probability reflects significant uncertainty in market liquidity rather than certainty of outcome. HEROIC Academy, the academy roster of the established HEROIC organisation, typically fields developing talent and benefits from institutional infrastructure; however, academy sides in Counter-Strike frequently underperform relative to their parent organisations' resources due to roster instability and limited competitive experience at this tier. Lavked's recent form and roster composition remain critical unknowns, as mid-tier European teams in CCT competitions often experience rapid fluctuations in performance based on individual player confidence and map pool preparation.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements regarding any roster changes, stand-ins, or scheduling adjustments in the 48 hours preceding the match. Recent reporting from esports coverage outlets has highlighted that academy team participation in CCT events sometimes faces last-minute complications owing to player availability conflicts with parent-organisation commitments. The settlement window extends to 29 May at 20:00 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time; matches delayed beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution, a mechanism that becomes relevant if either organisation encounters unforeseen logistical issues.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →