Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
36% | 64% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
36% | 64% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
MIBR and Legacy contest the second semifinal of the CS Asia Championships Playoffs on 23 May, with the winner advancing to the final. The best-of-three format demands consistency across map selection and mid-round adaptation; single-map upsets are unlikely to determine the outcome. Current crowd pricing at 36% for MIBR implies Legacy are favoured, though the Brazilian organisation has historically punched above regional seeding in knockout stages.
MIBR's recent form entering the playoffs showed inconsistency in online qualifiers, with losses to mid-tier opposition offset by convincing wins against established squads. Legacy have maintained steadier results throughout the season but lack marquee scalps against top-tier competition. The coaching staff at both organisations remain unchanged from the regular season, eliminating that variable. Key player availability—particularly MIBR's primary AWPer and Legacy's in-game leader—should be confirmed in the 48 hours before match day; any last-minute roster adjustments would shift the probability meaningfully. The 4:00 AM ET start time favours neither team geographically, though Legacy's recent domestic tournament schedule suggests better adaptation to early-morning fixtures. Monitor official CS Asia Championship announcements for any map-veto changes or format clarifications, as the organisation has issued late amendments in previous playoffs.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Champ… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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