Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
Market context
Team Nemesis face Infinite in a Counter-Strike best-of-three quarterfinal match within the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs on 16 June, with the fixture scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. The match represents a single-elimination knockout stage, meaning the loser exits the tournament immediately. Current market pricing at 100% implies near-certainty of the match occurring and producing a decisive result by the settlement deadline of 23:00 UTC on 16 June.
The 100% probability reflects the structural reliability of NODWIN's tournament operations rather than a prediction about which team will advance. NODWIN has maintained consistent scheduling across its Clutch Series events, with cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day threshold remaining uncommon. Historical precedent from prior NODWIN quarterfinals shows matches typically conclude within the scheduled window unless technical infrastructure failures occur—an infrequent occurrence for the platform's established broadcast setup. The tie-break clause (resolving to 50-50 if no winner is determined) further reduces the likelihood of extreme outcomes, as Counter-Strike best-of-three formats rarely conclude without a victor.
Traders should monitor NODWIN's official announcements for any venue or scheduling changes in the 48 hours preceding the match, alongside roster confirmations from both organisations. Recent player availability updates or last-minute coaching adjustments could affect match timing, though such changes rarely delay proceedings beyond the settlement window. The primary risk to the current probability lies in unforeseen technical disruptions during broadcast or server infrastructure issues—scenarios that would trigger the tie-break resolution clause rather than outright cancellation.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NOD… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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