Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match between ex-Sashi Academy and eternal premium in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier, Group B, scheduled for 13:30 UTC on 26 June 2026. ex-Sashi Academy (world ranking 126) face eternal premium (world ranking 95), with the latter holding a clear tier advantage based on recent form and historical head-to-head data[1][2].

Historically, matches where a team ranked below 110 faces an opponent ranked 95 or higher in closed qualifiers resolve overwhelmingly to the higher-ranked side, with win probabilities exceeding 85% unless a key roster change occurs. In this case, ex-Sashi Academy’s recent results show two straight losses in playoffs against Fortress and 100 Thieves in May, while eternal premium’s profile lacks comparable recent setbacks, reinforcing the 0% crowd-implied probability as a rational market reading[1][3].

Traders should monitor official team announcements for any late roster swaps or coaching changes, as these are the primary catalysts that could shift probability. No recent news has reported such changes, and the match remains live with no delays beyond the seven-day threshold[1][2]. The settlement window closes on 26 June 2026 at 19:35 UTC, and any cancellation or tie would default the market to 50-50, though current indicators suggest a decisive outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.