Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sharks and Ninjas in Pyjamas meet in the upper bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs on 28 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-three match is scheduled for 1:30PM ET, though the settlement window extends to 29 May at 02:45 UTC to account for potential delays. NIP enters as the stronger-ranked side in competitive Counter-Strike, having maintained a top-tier presence across multiple regional and international circuits, whilst Sharks represent a lower-seeded challenger from the South American region.

The 1% implied probability for Sharks reflects the substantial skill and experience gap between the teams. NIP's roster has competed consistently at the highest levels of professional Counter-Strike, whilst Sharks lack comparable tournament pedigree at this scale. Historical matchups between established European-tier organisations and emerging regional teams at similar competitive junctures have rarely produced upsets, particularly in best-of-three formats where consistency compounds advantage. The probability assignment aligns with conventional expectations rather than suggesting mispricing.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as coaching adjustments or player absences could shift the baseline. Schedule adherence matters given the seven-day delay clause; any postponement beyond 29 May without a winner triggers a 50-50 resolution. Technical issues during play—forfeiture scenarios—carry distinct settlement outcomes. Recent form data and scrim results, if available through esports reporting outlets covering the Stake circuit, would provide marginal signals about preparation levels, though public information remains limited for regional qualifiers.

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.