Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The match is a best-of-three semi-final between TDK and 100 Thieves in CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs, and the market’s 100% YES price implies the win is already being treated as near-certain. That is unusually extreme for a BO3, but 100 Thieves do arrive with the stronger recent form: Bo3.gg lists an 83% win rate over the last month, plus a strong Inferno profile, while also noting a recent 0-2 loss to K27 that underlines some inconsistency against tougher opposition.[1]

The main historical comparison is the earlier head-to-head, where 100 Thieves beat TDK 2-0 on 30 April, which supports the idea of a tactical edge rather than a coin-flip matchup.[1] Bo3.gg also flags veto asymmetry: 100 Thieves have a strong Inferno and often remove Anubis, while TDK’s best numbers are on Dust2 and Anubis, with Nuke described as a major weakness and common ban.[1] That kind of map-pool split usually matters more in playoffs than raw ranking, especially in a short series where one awkward veto can change the whole shape of the match.

For traders, the key catalysts are whether the line-up is unchanged from the published starters, whether the scheduled start time holds, and whether any late forfeit or technical delay affects completion before the settlement window closes.[1][2] Dust2.in lists the fixture for 21 June and confirms it is on today’s schedule, but there is no stronger beat-reporting in the available results on stand-ins, coaching changes, or fresh absences, so any last-minute roster announcement would be the most market-moving development.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.