Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO and Lynn Vision are set to contest the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs final, a Best-of-3 match scheduled for early morning on 12 July. The 100% YES probability implies near-certainty of a TYLOO victory, a stance supported by their recent 2-0 win over Lynn Vision at the IEM Cologne Major 2026, where they dominated with rosters featuring JamYoung, Jee, and zero against Lynn’s C4LLM3SU3 and Starry[1]. Historically, this pairing is volatile: Lynn Vision holds a 71% overall win rate across 38 matches, yet TYLOO has won the last two encounters and leads the map score 6-2 in the past 12 months, suggesting a recent form reversal that traders must weigh against the long-term head-to-head[5].
Key catalysts include confirmation that the match proceeds without forfeiture, as TYLOO previously forfeited a LAN fixture against Lynn Vision at Yuqilin, triggering a default outcome[3]. Traders should monitor official BLAST.tv or HLTV announcements for roster integrity, particularly given TYLOO’s mixed 2W-3L record in their five most recent series despite their Cologne triumph[1]. The settlement window closes at 12:50 UTC on 12 July; any delay beyond seven days or cancellation would reset the market to 50-50, making real-time schedule updates critical[1]. No coaching changes or key absences have been publicly reported for this specific qualifier, so the focus remains on execution consistency from TYLOO’s recent major-stage performance.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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