Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
21% | 79% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
21% | 79% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
TYLOO meet paiN in a best-of-three at CS Asia Championships Group A, with the market sitting far below a coin-flip at 21% for TYLOO. That implies the bracket and recent form are doing most of the work: TYLOO have already drawn attention at this event by beating Legacy in a live upper-bracket series, while paiN have been competing in the same Shanghai group stage and arrived here through the lower-bracket route. In a BO3, that usually leaves the more structured and more experienced side with the edge, especially if one team has already shown map depth at the venue.
For traders, the main variables are the official line-ups, map veto and whether there are any late schedule changes around the lower-bracket semifinal slot. The match is listed for the same day and the market settles on the completed result, so a forfeit or abandonment would matter as much as the on-server performance. Recent broadcast listings and event VODs show both teams active in the group stage, but no major roster news has been evident in the public schedule; any last-minute stand-in, illness update, or delay in the preceding series would be the most relevant catalyst for a move in either direction.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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