Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Ursa face ex-Zero Tenacity in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during CCT Europe Series 3 group play on 1 June, with the fixture scheduled for 10:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme uncertainty about team availability or a strong consensus that one side will not field a competitive roster. Given the CCT's history of roster instability and last-minute withdrawals among lower-tier European squads, the settlement terms permitting a 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled or delayed beyond seven days carry material weight. Recent CCT Europe tournaments have seen multiple group-stage fixtures abandoned or rescheduled due to visa issues, player illness, or organisational collapse, particularly affecting teams outside the top-tier circuit.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and team social media for roster confirmations by late May. Ex-Zero Tenacity's recent history includes multiple lineup changes and periods of inactivity; any confirmation of a full starting five would shift the probability significantly. Ursa's current competitive standing and recent LAN or online results remain the primary catalyst—if either team has competed in the preceding fortnight with a stable lineup, that data point becomes critical for assessing match likelihood. The settlement window closes at 20:15 UTC on 1 June, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude; delays beyond that window trigger the tie-resolution clause.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →