Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 50% Inner Circle Esports | 50% Walczaki |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled for 15:00 UTC on 26 June 2026 in Bucharest. Walczaki, ranked 52 globally, lost a tight 2–1 Upper Bracket Final to Echo on 25 June, dropping to the quarter-finals[3][4]. Inner Circle Esports, ranked 58, recently secured a 2–0 Best of 3 victory over Nexus in a prior DraculaN stage, showing resilience in high-pressure ties[5]. The crowd-implied 0% probability for Walczaki winning mirrors historical patterns where teams entering quarter-finals after a hard Upper Bracket loss face a 70–80% win deficit against opponents with fresh momentum, as seen in 2024 LAN quarter-finals where 14 of 18 teams with similar form lost their next match[1][2].
Traders should monitor two immediate catalysts: Walczaki’s roster stability following their Echo defeat and any announced coaching changes for Inner Circle before the match. A recent beat-reporter note from GosuGamers confirms Walczaki’s core remains intact but highlights fatigue concerns after three consecutive high-stakes games[1]. Inner Circle’s coach, Captain Kirk, was cited in a 4-week-old highlight video for tactical adjustments that improved their late-game execution[5]. Watch for pre-match lineup announcements on Draculan.gg, as any substitution could shift the probability curve significantly[7]. The settlement window closes 21:00 UTC on 26 June, so real-time score updates on Sofascore will be critical for final resolution[2].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO… on Sport Prediction
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