Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Aurora and PARIVISION are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one group stage match at the BLAST Slam Dota 2 tournament on 28 May at 11:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability for Aurora victory suggests the market has settled on PARIVISION as heavy favourites, though the BO1 format introduces inherent volatility that single-game matches carry across competitive Dota.

Historical precedent for such skewed probabilities in Dota group stages typically reflects either a substantial skill gap between opponents, recent roster changes affecting one side's cohesion, or documented absences of key players. PARIVISION's positioning as overwhelming favourites warrants scrutiny of Aurora's recent form—whether the team has suffered recent losses to mid-tier opposition, experienced coaching instability, or fielded stand-in players in qualifying events. The settlement window extends to 21:40 UTC on 28 May, allowing roughly 10 hours post-match for result confirmation, though the 7-day delay clause means extended postponements would trigger a 50-50 resolution rather than a walkover.

Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the 48 hours before fixture time. Dota patch changes deployed shortly before tournaments occasionally shift meta-dependent team strengths, particularly affecting teams reliant on specific hero pools. Injury or visa complications affecting either squad's core players would represent material information; such announcements typically surface via team social media or esports news outlets like Liquipedia's event coverage rather than formal league channels.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.