Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
Market context
Aurora and Tundra Esports were due to meet in the DreamLeague play-offs lower bracket quarter-finals, with the market already pricing Tundra as a near-certainty. That is consistent with the recent head-to-head context: Tundra beat Aurora 3-1 in the DreamLeague Season 28 grand final, and they have also traded tightly fought maps in earlier group-stage meetings, suggesting Aurora can extend series but have struggled to turn that into a match win. When a market sits at 100% YES, it usually reflects either a live result already in hand, a confirmed schedule update, or very lopsided public expectations; on raw form alone, it is extreme.
The main catalysts to watch are whether the fixture was actually completed before the settlement window, and whether any late bracket change, admin ruling, or delay affected the result. Recent listings from Sofascore and live match trackers placed Aurora vs Tundra in DreamLeague Playoffs on 22 May at 19:00 UTC, while several broadcast and replay pages show the pairing recurring again in Season 29 coverage, which underlines how often these teams have been matched in recent top-flight events. If one side fielded a stand-in or had a draft forfeit, that would matter more than prior series scorelines, but absent such news the market should track the actual series outcome rather than reputation alone.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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