Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 89% Team Falcons | 11% Team Liquid |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Team Falcons | 0% Team Liquid |
| Game 2 Winner | 63% Team Falcons | 37% Team Liquid |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 33% Over | 68% Under |
| Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 60% Team Falcons | 40% Team Liquid |
| Ends in Daytime | 95% YES | 5% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons face Team Liquid in an upper bracket quarterfinal of the BLAST Slam Playoffs, a best-of-three Dota 2 fixture scheduled for 4 June at 08:30 ET. The 57% crowd probability favours Falcons, reflecting their recent competitive standing in the regional circuit. Both squads qualified directly to this stage, bypassing earlier rounds, which means limited recent match data exists to calibrate form heading into the knockout phase.
Historically, upper bracket matches at BLAST events have favoured teams with stable five-player rosters and consistent scrim preparation in the weeks prior. Team Liquid's roster changes earlier in 2026 created a period of adjustment that affected their early-season results, though they stabilised by spring. Team Falcons maintained their core lineup through the season, typically a structural advantage in best-of-three formats where familiarity and mid-series adaptations matter. The 57% probability reflects this marginal edge but acknowledges Liquid's pedigree and experience in high-stakes playoffs.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any last-minute roster confirmations or stand-in announcements, particularly given esports' vulnerability to visa delays or illness. Coaching staff statements released 48 hours before fixture time often signal confidence levels and preparation depth. The settlement window closes at 18:30 ET on 4 June, allowing only the scheduled match window and a narrow buffer for technical delays; any postponement beyond 11 June triggers the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent Dota 2 patch notes released in late May may also shift hero viability, affecting which teams' preparation translates more effectively to the live environment.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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