Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons face PARIVISION in a best-of-one group stage fixture at BLAST Slam on 29 May, with the match scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The 0% crowd probability reflects either extreme confidence in Team Falcons or minimal trading activity on this particular matchup. BLAST Slam represents a mid-tier international circuit event, drawing regional and emerging squads alongside established rosters. Team Falcons, a Middle Eastern organisation, have competed inconsistently across recent Dota 2 qualifiers, whilst PARIVISION remains a lesser-documented squad in the broader competitive circuit, making direct comparative data sparse.
Historical precedent for matches involving lower-profile teams in group stage formats shows that single-elimination games often hinge on preparation depth and recent scrim performance rather than headline roster strength. Teams entering BLAST events with fresh coaching staff or unresolved position changes frequently underperform seeding expectations. The settlement window extends to 29 May at 20:40 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer; cancellations or extended delays beyond that threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution, though BLAST events typically maintain scheduled play.
Traders should monitor official BLAST announcements for any roster changes or stand-in confirmations from either side in the 48 hours preceding the match. Recent roster moves or player illness within either organisation could materially shift expected performance. Dota 2 patch updates released immediately before group stages occasionally reshape hero viability, potentially disadvantaging teams with less flexible draft preparation. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled and absence of last-minute roster disruptions remain the primary catalysts affecting settlement certainty.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Sla… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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