Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
LGD Gaming and OG will meet in a best-of-one group stage match at the BLAST Slam tournament on 28 May, with the match scheduled for 12:10 PM ET. The fixture represents a significant test for both organisations, as BLAST Slam functions as a qualifying pathway for The International, Dota 2's premier annual championship. LGD, the reigning TI champions, arrive as heavy favourites in most betting markets, though the 0% crowd probability suggests either technical listing issues or extreme uncertainty among traders regarding match completion.
Historical precedent for matches between these two teams shows LGD holds a decisive head-to-head record, winning approximately 70% of encounters over the past two years. However, OG's unpredictability in group stage formats—where they've occasionally fielded experimental lineups or rotated players—complicates straightforward prediction. Recent roster adjustments at both organisations merit scrutiny; LGD's mid-season coaching transition in April 2025 and OG's continued integration of their reformed five-man roster both represent variables that affect form assessment.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications regarding schedule confirmations, as the settlement window's 7-day grace period for delays suggests organisers have flagged potential fixture congestion. Any last-minute player absences or stand-in announcements, typically disclosed 24 hours before matches, would materially shift expectations. Venue-related disruptions or technical issues affecting the broadcast infrastructure have historically affected match timings in this tournament series, making real-time schedule verification essential before settlement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →