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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $716K Closes: 26 May 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Sport Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Sport Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Sport Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Sport Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Sport Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Sport Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner0% YES100% NO
Ends in Daytime0% YES100% NO
Both Teams Beat Roshan0% YES100% NO
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0% YES100% NO
Any Player Ultra Kill0% YES100% NO
Any Player Rampage0% YES100% NO

Market context

Team Liquid face Tundra Esports in a single-elimination group-stage match at the BLAST Slam on 26 May, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The fixture represents a critical early test for both rosters in what is positioned as a high-stakes regional qualifier.

The 0% implied probability reflects either a technical issue with the market or an assumption of match cancellation rather than genuine confidence in either team's chances. Historical precedent suggests such extreme probabilities in esports prediction markets often correlate with scheduling uncertainty, roster availability disputes, or administrative delays rather than genuine competitive imbalance. BLAST Slam matches have occasionally been postponed or rescheduled due to visa complications or equipment failures, and the seven-day cancellation window built into this market's resolution criteria acknowledges that risk.

Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any roster changes or coaching adjustments announced before the 1:20 PM ET start time. Recent form data—including both teams' performances in qualifying rounds and online qualifiers—will be critical, as will confirmation of player availability. Tundra Esports' recent tournament placements and Team Liquid's current lineup composition relative to their last major international appearance should inform reassessment of the probability away from the current extreme. Any announcement of stand-in players, technical issues with the broadcast infrastructure, or last-minute scheduling conflicts would warrant immediate market recalibration.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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