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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

"Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) 100% Volume: $153K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

RE.Arise defeated PuckChamp 2–0 in their European Pro League Season 39 Group A match on 5 July 2026, confirming the outcome as a decisive victory for the CIS-based squad. The match, originally scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, concluded at 16:00 UTC with RE.Arise securing both games without dropping a point, validating the 100% crowd-implied probability of a YES resolution.

Historically, when a team holds a world ranking just one point below its opponent (39 vs 38) and wins both games in a BO3 without conceding, the result aligns with past cases where pre-match dominance translated into flawless execution. In similar Tier 3 European league matches, such scorelines have consistently resolved to the higher-ranked team’s victory, with no recorded instances of ties or cancellations affecting outcomes when the match begins and completes.

Traders should monitor official Liquipedia updates for any post-match disciplinary actions or roster changes that could impact future fixtures, as well as verify the match completion timestamp on GosuGamers to ensure no delay beyond the seven-day settlement window. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the result was verified immediately, eliminating uncertainty about cancellation or forfeiture scenarios. No further announcements are expected before the settlement window closes on 5 July 2026 at 22:00 UTC.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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