Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Refuser and Game Master are set to contest a lower bracket quarterfinal in the International China Closed Qualifier playoffs on 17 June, with the winner advancing further in the regional competition for TI qualification. The best-of-three format means either team must secure two map victories to progress. This represents a critical juncture for both squads, as elimination from the lower bracket ends their TI pathway through this qualifier entirely.

The 100% implied probability warrants scrutiny given the volatility typical of Chinese Dota 2 regional competition. Recent closed qualifiers have produced upsets when favourites fielded incomplete rosters or faced unexpected coaching transitions mid-tournament. Game Master's performance in preceding matches and any roster adjustments made between the group stage and playoffs will substantially influence match dynamics. Team Refuser's recent form, particularly their map win-rate against comparable opposition and any changes to their starting five, remains the primary variable determining whether the market's certainty reflects genuine dominance or overconfidence.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding match scheduling confirmation, as delays beyond the seven-day window trigger a 50-50 resolution. Any last-minute roster changes, player illness, or technical issues affecting either team in the 48 hours preceding the scheduled start would alter competitive balance materially. The settlement window closes 17 June at 10:00 UTC, allowing limited time for post-match verification. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled and without significant roster disruptions remains the critical dependency for standard resolution.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.