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Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $1.8M Liquidity: $890K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
First Blood in Game 3?10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)0%

Market context

Yakult Brothers and Rune Eaters meet in a best-of-three semifinal at the Games of the Future playoffs, with the market already pricing a near-certain Yakult Brothers win. That kind of crowd signal is stronger than the mixed form lines in the run-up: Yakult Brothers have won three of their last five, while Rune Eaters have won four of five, so recent results alone do not justify a 100% assumption in either direction.[2][12]

The historical frame is narrow because the teams are recorded as having no prior head-to-head meeting under these line-ups, which makes roster continuity and bracket context more relevant than any direct matchup data.[2][12] Yakult Brothers have been described as having a stable roster for around 46 days, whereas Rune Eaters have had roster changes in the past month, including personnel turnover around TA2000, Danial and NickyCool, a factor that can matter in a short playoff series.[12]

For traders, the main catalysts are confirmation of the start time, any late schedule slip, and whether either side makes last-minute roster or role changes before the match.[8][12] The bracket and published schedules place the semifinal on 4 August, but coverage has shown slight timing variation across listings, so a delay, walkover, or cancellation would be the more important settlement risk than a routine in-series upset.[3][5][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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