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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

"Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) 100% Volume: $294K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity defeated Nemiga Gaming 2–0 in their EPL Masters Play-In Group B Best of 3 on 20 July 2026, confirming the outcome that the market’s 100% YES probability implied before the match concluded[1][7]. This result aligns with a clear historical pattern: Zero Tenacity has won all five of their recent head-to-head encounters against Nemiga since August 2025, demonstrating repeated tactical dominance in this matchup[2][10]. Nemiga’s historical winrate against Zero Tenacity sits at just 9%, marking a persistent structural weakness that traders have long priced into the market[2][3].

The key catalysts for this fixture were already resolved pre-match: Zero Tenacity’s 58% winrate over the past half-year and strong playoff pedigree from EPL Season 38 contrasted sharply with Nemiga’s 48% form and inconsistency in decisive series[2][10]. Nemiga’s roster adjustment—replacing Nattynarwhal with selfhate—did not alter the outcome, while Zero Tenacity’s international lineup, assembled in late 2025, delivered the expected momentum from open qualifiers[8][9]. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain, as the match is complete and the settlement window now serves only to formalise the resolved result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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