Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 51% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
HANJIN BRION face Hanwha Life Esports in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 31 May at 04:00 ET. The fixture pits two mid-table franchises against each other during a period when roster stability and coaching continuity typically correlate with early-season performance. Both organisations have undergone roster adjustments heading into 2026, with HANJIN BRION rotating their support line and Hanwha Life Esports making changes to their mid-lane position following the previous season's mixed results.
Historical LCK data shows that teams entering the first two rounds with unproven new player combinations tend to underperform relative to pre-season expectations, particularly when those players lack prior LCK stage experience. The 51% implied probability for HANJIN BRION suggests the market views them as marginal favourites, likely reflecting their slightly stronger recent scrim results and coaching staff continuity compared to Hanwha Life Esports' more substantial roster turnover. However, early-season BO3 matches in the LCK frequently produce upset results when teams have limited stage time together.
Traders should monitor official LCK announcements regarding any last-minute roster confirmations or coaching staff changes through to the settlement deadline. Fixture delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, so schedule adherence matters. Recent reporting from LCK beat writers has emphasised that both organisations prioritised mechanical talent over synergy in their off-season signings, suggesting the match outcome may hinge on individual performances rather than established team coordination.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →