LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Dplus KIA face HANJIN BRION in an LCK best-of-three, with the market currently pricing a near-upset-level 1% chance on Dplus KIA. That sits well below the kind of split one would expect from the recent record between these sides: Dplus KIA were strong favourites in prior meetings, and the live result history linked in match trackers shows Dplus KIA taking the series 2-0 in the teams’ earlier 2026 LCK Rounds 1-2 clash. In other words, the present price reflects a market that has already heavily discounted Dplus KIA’s edge, rather than a neutral read on the pairing.

For traders, the key checks are whether both line-ups are unchanged from the last scheduled meeting and whether there are any late roster or substitute announcements before the 16:10 UTC settlement window closes. The main catalyst is simple match confirmation: if the series starts and finishes normally, the winner should resolve cleanly, but any postponement, cancellation, or mid-series abandonment creates a very different outcome under the market rules. Team-news pages and live match listings have already marked this fixture as active, so the practical risk is not whether the teams are known, but whether there is any last-minute change to the scheduled series or a forfeit scenario that would override on-stage form.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.