Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Fluxo W7M face LOS in a lower bracket semifinal of Brazil's CBLOL playoffs on 30 May, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from championship contention. The best-of-five format gives either team scope to mount a comeback, though Fluxo enter as substantial favourites at 91% implied probability. Both organisations have competed in the regional league for multiple seasons, though roster stability and recent domestic form will determine the outcome more than historical pedigree.
Fluxo's recent trajectory through the regular season and into playoffs provides the foundation for the market's heavy weighting. The team secured consistent wins in the latter stages of league play and demonstrated cohesion in early playoff matches. LOS, by contrast, dropped into the lower bracket earlier than expected, suggesting either inconsistency in their core lineup or strategic vulnerabilities that Fluxo's coaching staff will have identified. Coaching adjustments and mid-series adaptations in best-of-five formats can shift momentum, but teams entering from a position of strength typically convert that advantage.
Traders should monitor official CBLOL announcements regarding any last-minute roster changes, player illness, or technical delays in the days before 30 May. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on that date, leaving a narrow window for match completion if scheduling slips occur. Any public statements from either team's management about preparation or confidence levels may signal internal concerns not yet reflected in the 91% figure, though such commentary rarely moves markets substantially in regional esports.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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