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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 70% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $708K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?70%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Match Winner64%
Game 1 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?58%
Game 2 Winner57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor33%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

Gen.G versus T1 is one of the LCK’s most recent high-end match-ups, and the market’s 61% price for Gen.G reflects a rivalry that has swung on fine margins rather than a one-sided edge. Recent results show both teams capable of beating the other in a series: T1 ended Gen.G’s long winning run in 2025, but Gen.G also responded with a 2–1 win in a later meeting, underlining how quickly form can flip in this pairing.[14][1] In broader 2025 standings, Gen.G finished far ahead of T1 in match wins and game record, which helps explain why the favourite has usually been priced on overall consistency rather than a single head-to-head result.[2][11]

For traders, the main catalysts are whether both line-ups are confirmed as expected and whether there is any last-minute scheduling change around the planned 31 July slot. The market only resolves to a team win if the series is completed with a decisive result; a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would push it to 50-50, so admin updates matter as much as draft strength.[11] A live match listing was already active on esports.op.gg for the scheduled GEN versus T1 series, which suggests normal progression, but any roster announcement, illness report, or broadcast delay would be the key thing to watch before lock.[5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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