Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
5% | 95% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
5% | 95% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 3? | 5% RED Canids | 95% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
Market context
RED Canids and LOS will contest the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs grand final on 14 June, with the winner securing a berth in the international tournament. The best-of-five format grants either squad a realistic path to victory, though regional dominance and recent domestic performance will heavily influence the outcome. Both organisations have fielded competitive rosters throughout the 2024 season, yet consistency across extended series remains a differentiator in high-stakes League of Legends competition.
Historical precedent in South American League of Legends suggests that teams reaching grand finals from this region typically reflect months of accumulated form rather than single-tournament variance. RED Canids' trajectory through the playoffs and LOS's seeding position will determine whether this matchup favours experience or momentum. Previous EWC qualifiers from LATAM have often rewarded organisations with stable coaching structures and minimal roster turnover mid-season; any recent substitutions or strategic shifts warrant close examination, as adaptation under pressure frequently determines series outcomes in best-of-five formats.
Traders should monitor official announcements regarding player availability and any schedule adjustments in the 72 hours preceding the match. Coaching staff statements or team social media activity occasionally signal confidence levels or preparation depth. The settlement window's seven-day buffer for delays provides protection against minor scheduling conflicts, but confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled by 13 June would substantially reduce execution risk. Current 50-50 odds reflect genuine competitive balance; shifts in this probability should track verifiable changes to team composition or recent scrim results rather than speculative narrative.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup Sou… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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