Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
Solary meet Joblife in a BO1 LFL regular-season match, and the market’s 0% YES price is broadly consistent with the one-sided recent matchup profile. Solary have beaten Joblife in all four of their recent head-to-head meetings, including a 1-0 result in the LFL earlier this year, while Joblife have yet to register a win in the rivalry[1][2].
The broader form gap also points in Solary’s favour: one recent market preview described Solary as spring champions with an 8-1 regular-season record and four wins from their last five games, compared with Joblife’s 2-7 mark and only one win in five[3]. Independent odds pages similarly shade heavily towards Solary, with one listing Solary at 1.36 versus Joblife at 2.93[4]. For a BO1, that still leaves room for variance, but it does not support a near-even pricing.
The main catalysts are lineup confirmation, last-minute schedule changes, and any competitive ruling on whether the game is actually played to completion. As of the available match listings, both sides are expected to field standard rosters, with Solary listed as Kryze, Jool, Aetinoth, Piero and Zicssiflay, and Joblife as Czekolad, Comp, Mersa, Vertigo and shift[2]. Traders should watch for official LFL or team announcements before the set time, because a cancellation, long delay, or forfeiture would alter settlement away from a normal win/loss outcome.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Solary vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade LoL: Solary vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season on Sport Prediction
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