LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in a lower bracket first-round best-of-five match in the CBLOL playoffs on 23 May. The winner advances; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Both teams enter from the regular season having secured playoff spots, though their seeding and momentum differ materially heading into the knockout stage.

The 0% probability reflects either a data-entry error or genuine uncertainty about match completion rather than confidence in either team's chances. Historical CBLOL lower bracket matches rarely fail to conclude, with cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day window proving exceptionally rare. The league has maintained fixture integrity through scheduling redundancy and venue stability. Settlement hinges on whether the match is played to a decisive outcome by 23 May 22:00 UTC; any postponement beyond that window or unresolved forfeiture triggers a 50-50 split.

Traders should monitor official CBLOL announcements regarding roster confirmations, particularly any last-minute absences or coaching adjustments that could shift team preparation. Recent form data—win-loss records in the final regular season weeks, head-to-head records if applicable, and any mid-season roster moves—will inform competitive balance. The scheduling dependency is straightforward: the match must occur on the published date without technical or organisational disruption. Confirmation of both teams' participation and venue readiness typically arrives 48 hours before fixture time through the official CBLOL broadcast schedule and team social channels.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.