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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

100% YES 0% NO Volume: $956K Liquidity: $328K Closes: 21 May 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Market context

Weibo Gaming meet Bilibili Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier lower-bracket semi-final BO3, and the market is priced as a near-certainty for Bilibili. That reflects the head-to-head record more than the short-term table: Strafe’s matchup data puts the pair at 26 meetings, with Bilibili winning 19 and Weibo only six, and Bilibili taking the most recent clash 2-0 in late April. BO3 history also favours the stronger side, with recent BO3s between them repeatedly finishing in Bilibili’s favour and Weibo struggling to convert series once Bilibili get tempo.

Recent form points the same way. Strafe lists Bilibili as winners of five straight, while Weibo have gone 3-2 over their last five and remain more volatile against top opposition. BO3.gg’s match page also highlights Bilibili’s stronger overall and recent-year win rates, alongside Weibo’s patchier results and narrow losses when games are close. The current Weibo line-up of Zika, Jiejie, Xiaohu, Elk and Hang faces a Bilibili five of Bin, Xun, knight, Viper and ON, a roster with deeper late-game carry threats and fewer obvious weak points in the lane-to-objective transition.

For traders, the main catalysts are not abstract form trends but match-day availability and bracket timing. The series is in the lower bracket, so either side may be playing on short turnaround depending on earlier qualifier results, and any substitution news would matter more than usual in a BO3. Liquipedia shows the event uses Fearless Draft in this phase, which can amplify draft edge for the better-coached team and makes champion-pool information relevant if either side is forced off comfort picks. No major injury or coaching absence has been flagged in the live listings, so the market is still being driven mainly by the established team strength gap.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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