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LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 10% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 10% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $153K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Match Winner0%

Market context

ZYB Esport and Skillcamp Esport are scheduled to meet in a one-game LFL Regular Season match, and the market has already priced ZYB as an outsider at 0% YES. That is consistent with the broader pre-match picture: aggregated fan voting on Strafe favours Skillcamp, with 68.4% of votes on Skillcamp and 31.6% on ZYB, suggesting the crowd expected Skillcamp to be the more likely winner before the result was known.[1]

The main historical context is that recent comparable meetings have leaned Skillcamp’s way in the available records, while at least one later head-to-head listing shows ZYB winning 1-0 in a previous matchup, so this is not a one-sided rivalry in purely historical terms.[2][5] Earlier match data from February also placed Skillcamp ahead in team ranking and recent win rate, with Skillcamp listed at rank #79 versus ZYB at #110, and recent win rates of over 50% and 40% respectively.[4] That sort of gap helps explain why pre-match probability was heavily tilted, but it also shows why a 0% market can still be fragile if the line-up or scheduling picture changes.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: confirm the match actually starts and completes, watch for any late roster announcements, and check whether either side fields a substitute or faces a last-minute forfeit risk. Current live match listings from GosuGamers and BO3.gg indicate the fixture is on the schedule and has been tracked as a Bo1, but live or delayed listings can change quickly if the league adjusts timing or if an official result is posted after play begins.[2][3] If the game is postponed beyond the market’s seven-day settlement window without a winner, the contract is set to resolve 50-50 rather than to either team.[market description]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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