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Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

How the sports market is pricing "Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $725K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.599%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.599%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-8.5) vs Sentinels (+8.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%

Market context

G2 Esports and Sentinels were due to meet in a best-of-three at VCT Americas Stage 2, with the market hinging on a straight match winner rather than map score. In recent comparable meetings, G2 have held the edge overall: Strafe lists the head-to-head at 8-4 in G2’s favour, and says the teams last met in November 2025, when G2 won 1-0.[2] The broader comparison is also supportive of G2’s standing: Hotspawn described G2 as the Americas Stage 2 upper-final winner over Sentinels, with that result moving the year’s head-to-head to 4-2 for G2 at that point.[11]

Form is the main reason the crowd-implied price looks extreme. Strafe’s pre-match form line had G2 at 2 wins from their last 5 and Sentinels at 3 from 5, while Bo3 reported both sides winning on the previous stage day, including G2 over Cloud9 and Sentinels over LOUD, leaving Sentinels 2-0 and G2 1-1 in Group Omega at that stage.[2][4] For traders, the important catalysts are whether the scheduled series is played as listed and whether any late roster or staffing changes emerge before first map; the market resolves 50-50 if the match is not played, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[1][10] Beat-level reporting and official VCT scheduling pages also matter here because this was a same-day group fixture in Los Angeles, where live bracket pressure and any substitution news can move a BO3 more than raw season ranking.[9][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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