Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs Team Vitality (+8.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-9.5) vs Team Vitality (+9.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Vitality |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Vitality |
Market context
Team Vitality and Leviatán meet in a lower-bracket semifinal at VCT Masters London, a best-of-three that has attracted a very one-sided market price despite both sides reaching the playoff phase. GosuGamers lists Leviatán at world ranking 7 and Vitality at 9 for this matchup, which helps explain why the market has still priced Vitality as the clear favourite: the implied 90% chance signals traders are leaning more on current bracket position and recent match-level performance than on the broader ranking gap.[1] Both teams were already noted among the first to secure playoff places, so this is a deep-run elimination match rather than a late group-stage meeting.[3]
For traders, the main variables are confirmation of line-ups, any late scheduling movement, and the result of preceding lower-bracket games that determine whether this fixture is played as listed. Tournament listings show the match slated for 19 June at 16:00 UTC, but the market settles on whether the match is actually completed within the 7-day window, so any postponement, venue issue, or format change would matter directly.[1] The available pre-match reporting does not indicate a coaching switch or a known roster absence for either side, so absent breaking news, the key read is that the price reflects a high-confidence expectation of Vitality’s BO3 strength rather than a clear structural edge confirmed by team news.[1][2][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - … on Sport Prediction
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