Ethereum price on May 25?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market settles on the Binance ETH/USDT closing price at noon Eastern Time on 25 May 2026, using the 1-minute candle data available on the exchange's spot trading interface. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders currently assess the likelihood of resolution within the specified bracket as negligible, though the settlement window extends nearly eighteen months forward, leaving substantial scope for market repricing as the date approaches.

Ethereum's price trajectory over comparable multi-month windows has historically exhibited volatility tied to network upgrades, macroeconomic shifts, and shifts in institutional adoption patterns. The May 2024–May 2025 period saw ETH trading between roughly $1,600 and $4,000, demonstrating the scale of intra-year swings that traders should factor when assessing long-dated price brackets. Previous resolution windows for similar Ethereum spot-price markets have shown that late-stage probability shifts often accelerate sharply in the final weeks, particularly if major catalyst events cluster near the settlement date.

Key variables for traders to monitor include scheduled Ethereum protocol developments, regulatory announcements affecting spot trading or staking, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment tied to Bitcoin movements and macroeconomic conditions. Binance's operational status and any changes to ETH/USDT trading pairs would directly affect settlement mechanics. The noon ET timestamp creates a specific snapshot dependency; overnight Asian trading and early European session activity will influence the precise 1-minute candle close, making real-time market conditions on the settlement date itself a material factor in final resolution.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.