Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| 60,000-62,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 72,000-74,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| <58,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 58,000-60,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 70,000-72,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 62,000-64,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Bitcoin is trading around the mid-$60,000s, and the market will settle on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute close at noon ET, so the key question is whether price stays above or below the nearest bracket at that exact minute. Recent benchmark readings show Bitcoin at $63,231.87 on 22 June 2026 in YCharts’ daily series, after $64,240.23 the previous day, while Binance’s own prediction page had shown a June 22 projection near $64,985 earlier in the week.[2][5]
That leaves the current 0% YES probability looking more like a reflection of the market’s strict timing rule than a broad call on Bitcoin’s direction. Comparable June snapshots have been volatile: Fortune reported BTC at $72,145.11 on 1 June and $63,682.64 on 4 June, underscoring how quickly the coin can move several thousand dollars in a few sessions.[3][4] SoFi also notes that early 2026 saw BTC swing from a January high of $97,860 to a February low of $60,074, with prices then oscillating in the $65,000 to $73,000 band.[7]
For traders, the main catalysts are macro risk appetite, intraday crypto liquidity, and any fresh remarks from major exchange or ETF-related flows before the noon ET candle. The source mechanics matter too: Binance resolves on the exact 12:00 ET one-minute close, so even a brief wick is irrelevant unless it is captured in the final candle close.[5] That means late-morning volatility, U.S. market open spillover, and any overnight move into the settlement window are likely to be more important than longer-horizon forecasts or year-end targets.[1][6]
Methodology
This page reviews Bitcoin price on June 22? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bitcoin price on June 22? on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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