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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

How the sports market is pricing "League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

A 50% B 50% C 50% D 50% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $202K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
A50%
B50%
C50%
D50%
E50%
Other50%
BLG32%
HLE26%
T113%
GEN12%
KC11%
WE10%
DCG6%
TLAW5%
LYON3%
NIP3%
G21%
TES1%
JDG1%
DK1%
AL0%
KT0%
FLY0%
WBG0%
TSW0%
CFO0%
C90%
MKOI0%
IG0%
GAM0%
BFX0%

Market context

The final 2026 Worlds cycle will decide which team finishes top of the official Global Power Rankings, and the current 26% crowd price implies the field is still highly open rather than pointing to a clear favourite. On the live 2026 table, Hanwha Life Esports, Bilibili Gaming, Gen.G and T1 are clustered tightly at the top, with only small Elo-style gaps separating them, which means one strong Worlds run can still overturn the order.[1][5]

That low-to-mid probability fits the recent pattern for this market: the ranking has repeatedly shifted late in the year as international results reweighted the standings, while regional regular-season form alone has not been enough to lock in first place.[2][6] The practical lesson is that the winner is usually the team that peaks at the right time, not the one that looked best in spring or summer, and tie-break logic also matters if the final points are close.[4]

Traders should watch Worlds qualification, roster announcements, and any coaching or substitution changes over the rest of the year, because this ranking is built from Tier 1 results and is updated after major events rather than by reputation.[3][6] The main dependency is whether the current top group arrives at Worlds with stable line-ups and enough international wins to separate from the pack; any injury, benching or late roster shuffle would matter more here than in a standard league table.[4][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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